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 Coffee Futures and Options Market Trading

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T & K Futures and Options, Inc. is a federally licensed U.S. corporation specializing in helping investors implement futures and options investment strategies. We are happy to answer all of your questions about coffee futures and coffee options. Click here for answers to your questions.

The History of Coffee and Coffee Futures Arabica Trading

Coffee's beginnings are lost somewhere in mankind's ancient history, but it is believed to have originated in the Ethiopia around 3 A.D., where ground beans were used to season food by the various inhabitants of that area. In about 1300 A.D., the Southern Arabians first roasted and brewed coffee for use as a beverage. The Middle Eastern hub of the valuable trading routes to Asia and later Africa efficiently dispersed the new valuable source of commerce to European consumers. Today, coffee is one of the world's most popular drinks and is among the world's most important internationally traded commodities, with a number of economies largely dependent in its trade. Coffee has even been found to have some health benefits such as helping to stop the onset of Alzheimer's disease, minimizing diabetes and blood thinning.

ICE Coffee Futures and Options Quick Facts

  • 37,500 pound contract size

  • one cent move equals $375

  • Trades March, May, July, Sep., Dec.

 

Fundamental analysis for the coffee market

Top Producers 2010-2011

  • Brazil (produces approx. 39% of the world total)

  • Vietnam (produces approx. 13% of the world total)

  • Columbia

  • Indonesia

Other fundamental factors affecting coffee prices

  • weather (floods, droughts and freeze damage)

  • shipping delays

  • disease

The Coffee, Sugar and Cocoa Exchange (CSCE) was the premier world market for the trading of coffee futures, sugar futures and cocoa futures and options, and since 1993, an innovator in the trading of futures and options in dairy products. The CSCE was located in the world trade center before it was destroyed in the September 11 terror attacks. Symbolic of the strength and stability of the futures markets, coffee, cocoa and sugar futures contracts were actively trading within one week of the destruction of the exchange. Since then the CSCE has since merged to become part of the New York Board of Trade (NYBOT) and merged again with the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).

Contact us at contact@tkfutures.com   for specific coffee futures and coffee options data.

 

Coffee Futures Economics

Coffee Supply

Coffee trees, or bushes, grow primarily in subtropical climates and are actually an evergreen shrub that has the potential to grow 100 feet tall. Coffee trees grown between the Tropic of Cancer and the Tropic of Capricorn where year-round temperatures averaging 70 degrees Fahrenheit. Coffee beans are the seeds of cherry-sized berries which are the fruit of the coffee tree. Coffee is primarily classified in two types - arabica and robusta. Arabian coffees, which make up the bulk of world production, are grown mainly in the tropical highlands of the Western Hemisphere. Robusta coffees are produced largely in the low, hot areas of Africa and Asia. Their flavors are less mild than the arabica coffees.

South and Central America produce the majority of coffee trade in world commerce. Brazil and Colombia are the largest growers of arabica coffees. The top two robusta producers are Vietnam and Indonesia. Seventy countries produce coffee and 45 of those produce 97% of the world production. In the United States only Puerto Rico and Hawaii produce any significant amounts of coffee.

The supply of coffee is affected by weather conditions, the health of the coffee trees, and harvesting practices which in turn moves coffee futures prices. 

Coffee Demand

The demand for coffee is primarily determined by its price, the price and availability of substitute drinks and consumer's tastes. In periods of normal price variations, the demand for coffee is price inelastic. This means that when coffee futures prices rise, people do not reduce their coffee consumption proportionally, and when coffee futures prices fall, consumer demand for coffee does not proportionally increase to any great extent.

In the United States, over the last 30 years, per capita coffee consumption has declined considerably and limited population growth has led total consumption to even out over the past decade. Although high coffee futures prices were primarily responsible for the 1976-77 cutback in per capita coffee consumption, some studies attribute the longer-term decline mostly to changing tastes and very little to price changes. There is some evidence to suggest that changing American lifestyles have enabled soft drinks to compete with coffee as a social drink.

 

The Role of the Exchange and Coffee Futures

The (ICE) is the world's premier forum for coffee futures and coffee options trading.

As an exchange, the (ICE) does not participate in coffee futures price determination. Rather, it provides a visible, free-market setting where members can conduct coffee futures and options transactions subject to Exchange rules and regulations. Since all coffee futures and options contracts are standardized (with delivery months and locations, quantity and grade constant), only price is negotiable. The exchange environment allows prices to reach their natural levels - an important economic function known as price discovery.

Market participants are comprised of two main groups: hedgers and investors. Hedgers are primarily commercial firms that trade coffee futures and options to reduce their risk to unfavorable price movements in the physical markets. Hedging with coffee futures allows firms to lock in prices for future purchases or sales assisting in business planning and smoothing operations. Coffee options hedging provides the ability to manage risk in many different market environments by paying premiums for price protection or earning income through coffee option sales to augment marketing opportunities. Traditionally, hedgers have included coffee producers, importers and roasters.

Hedgers and investors are joined in the market by floor traders - independent, professional traders who trade for their own accounts. Floor traders add liquidity to the market, increasing efficiency and facilitating commercial hedging and individual investment objectives.

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Trading Coffee Futures

A coffee futures contract is a standardized, binding agreement to make or take delivery of a specified quantity and grade of a commodity at an established point in the future at an agreed upon price. A contract buyer is obligated to take delivery of coffee according to contract terms at a specified date, while sellers are obligated to make delivery. Buyers are considered to be "long" and sellers "short" the coffee futures contract.

The vast majority of coffee futures contracts never result in actual making or taking delivery. Instead, contract holders liquidate their positions by executing offsetting transactions in the market. Longs sell the contracts they bought and shorts buy their contracts back, removing delivery obligations.

Margin for Coffee Futures

Toward ensuring contract performance, the Exchange requires that market participants make original and variation margin payments. Original margins are "good faith deposits" established to ensure that market participants will meet their contractual financial obligations.

Leverage

A major attraction of coffee futures trading for investors is leverage. Since futures transactions do not require full advance payments for the commodity (just the margin), the buyer of a coffee futures contract which increases in value (or the seller of coffee futures contract which decreases in value) can realize a profit which can be substantial in relation to the commitment of capital. Assume that an investor can purchase coffee futures contracts (each representing 37,500 pounds of coffee) with a $3,000 margin deposit. Thus, if the investor bought one contract at 150.00 cents/pound ($56,250 worth of coffee) and sold the contract when coffee reached 165.00 cents/pound, he would realize a profit of $5,625 (15.00 cents x 37,500 pounds = $5,625) - a 187.5% return on the initial margin deposit, which is returned when the position is liquidated.

That's leverage, and it can be a powerful investment tool. Of course, leverage works both ways. If coffee prices were to move opposite from the anticipated direction, an investor could lose the entire margin deposit and more.

Trading Coffee Future Options

With its launch of options on world sugar futures in 1982, the CSCE became the first Exchange to trade options on commodity futures. In 1986, options on coffee futures commenced trading. Because coffee option strategies are numerous and can be tailored to meet a wide array of risk profiles, time horizons and cost considerations, hedgers and investors alike are increasingly realizing their vast potential. As a result, coffee options volume has grown considerably. Learn More >>>

Buyers

Coffee option buyers obtain the right, but not the obligation to enter the underlying coffee futures market at a pre-determined price within a specified period of time. A "call" option confers the right to buy (go long) futures, while a "put" option confers the right to sell (go short) futures. The pre-determined price is known as the "strike" or "exercise" price, the last day when an option may be exercised is the "expiration date". Buyers pay sellers a premium for their option rights.

Because a coffee option holder is under no obligation to enter the coffee futures market, losses are strictly limited to the purchase value: there are no margin calls. If the underlying futures market moves against an option position, the holder can simply let the option expire worthless. On the opposite side, potential gains are unlimited, net of the premium cost. That feature allows hedgers to guard against adverse price movements at a known cost without foregoing the benefits of favorable price movements. In an options hedge, gains are only reduced by the premium paid - unlike futures hedge, where gains in the cash market are offset by coffee futures market losses.

Coffee option holders can exit their position in one of three ways: exercising the option and entering the coffee futures market; selling the option back in the market; or simply letting the option expire worthless.

Sellers

Coffee option sellers, or "writers", receive a premium for granting option rights to buyers. In exchange for the premium, writers assume the risk of being assigned a position opposite that of the buyer in the underlying coffee futures market at any time prior to expiration. Writers of call options must be prepared to assume short positions at the option's strike price at the option holder's discretion, while put option writers may be assigned long coffee futures positions.

Writing put and call options can serve as a source of additional income during relatively flat market periods. Because option writers must be prepared to enter the coffee futures market at any time upon exercise, they are required to maintain a margin account similar to that for coffee futures. Sellers can offset their positions by buying back their option in the market.

Strike Price

Traders agree on premiums in an open outcry auction similar to that for coffee futures contracts. The Exchange generally lists thirteen strike prices for each option month: one at or near the futures price, six above and six below. As futures prices rise or fall, higher or lower strike prices are introduced according to a present formula.

Premiums

A number of factors impact option premium levels in the market. "Intrinsic value" is the dollars and cents difference between the option strike price and the current coffee futures price. An option with intrinsic value has a strike price making it profitable to exercise and is said to be "in-the-money" (strikes below futures price for calls, above for puts). An option not profitable to exercise is "out-of-the-money" (strikes above futures prices for calls, below for puts). "At-the-money" options have strike prices at or very near coffee futures prices. In general, an option's premium is at least equal to its intrinsic value (the amount by which it is "in-the-money").

"Time value" is the sum of money buyers are willing to pay for an option over and above any intrinsic value the option may presently have. Time value reflects a buyers' anticipation that, at some point prior to expiration, a change in the coffee futures price will result in an increase in the option's value. The premium for an "out-of-the-money" option is entirely a reflection of its time value.

Premiums are also affected by volatility in the underlying coffee futures market. Because high levels of volatility increase the probability that an option will become valuable to exercise, sellers command larger premiums when markets are more volatile. Finally, premiums are affected by supply and demand forces and interest rates relative to alternative investments.

Option Months

Coffee options are traded on coffee futures contracts having March, May, July, September and December delivery periods. The option month refers to the futures contract delivery month rather than the month in which the option actually expires.

In general, the last trading day for coffee options is the first Friday of the month preceding the coffee futures contract delivery month.

Example: Buying a Coffee Call Option

Buying a call can be employed to profit from, or achieve protection against, an increase in the price of coffee. Except for the cost of the option, the profit potential is similar to having a long position in the underlying coffee futures contract. Moreover, this strategy may provide greater "staying power" in the event of a temporary price setback than having an outright long futures position. Reason: there are no margin calls because you cannot lose more than the premium paid for the option, plus commission and fees.

For example, assume in July an investor foresees higher coffee prices by winter's onset. With December futures trading at 150.00 cents/pound, the investor decides to purchase a December 150 call (an at-the-money option) for 5.25 cents/pound. Since each contract represents 37,500 pounds of coffee, the total premium paid is $1,968.75.

The maximum loss the investor can incur is the premium paid, regardless of how far futures prices fall. However, potential profit is unlimited since the option holder gains dollar-for-dollar in the rise of the underlying coffee futures price minus the cost of the premium.

Call options can be purchased for price protection as well as for the pursuit of trading profits. Commercial firms buying call options effectively establish a maximum purchase cost equal to the exercise price of the option plus the option premium. Employed in this way, options offer hedgers price "insurance", while at the same time allowing them to benefit from price declines since they can allow the option price to expire unexercised.

Example: Buying a Coffee Put Options

Whereas buyers of calls can profit from rising prices, buyers of put options - rights to sell coffee futures contracts at the option exercise price - can profit from a price decline. Except for this difference, the properties of puts and calls are the same.

To realize a profit expiration, the underlying futures price must be below the option exercise price by an amount greater than the premium paid for the option. If it is higher, a portion or all of the premium will be lost. In no case, can losses exceed the premium paid.

For example, the investor in February expecting depressed coffee prices during the summer can purchase July puts. With July futures trading at 156.00 cents/pound, the investor purchases a July 155 put for 15.00 cents/pound (15.00 cents x 37,500 pounds = $5,625.00/contract)

The investor can lose no more than the premium paid, no matter how high coffee futures prices climb. On the other hand, if prices decline, the investor can realize substantial gains. A futures sale at the strike price would have similar profit opportunities in a falling market - plus the premium paid to obtain the option. However, losses from a short coffee futures position would be unlimited in a rising market.

Commercial firms can purchase put options against inventory as "insurance" against price decreases. The firm may choose the cost or "deductible" for the insurance by selecting either in-the-money, at-the-money or out-of-the-money puts. For example, say a July 155 put would cost 7.70 cents/pound and a 165 put 12.10 cents/pound in April when coffee futures were trading at 164.50 cents/pound. The 155 put would provide 10.00 cents/pound less protection than the 165 put, but could be obtained at a lower cost.

ICE Coffee Futures Contract

Calls for delivery of washed arabica coffee produced in several Central and South American, Asian, and African countries, or unwashed arabica coffee of Ethiopia.

Trading Units: 37,500lbs. (approximately 250 bags)

Trading Hours: 3:30 A.M. to 2:00 P.M. New York Time (verify with exchange)

Price Quotation: Cents per pound

Delivery Months: March, May, July, September, December

Ticker Symbol: KC

Minimum Fluctuation: 5/100 cent/pound, equivalent to $18.75 per contract.

Daily Price Limits (from previous day's settlement price): 6.00 cents with variable limits effective under certain conditions. No price limits on two nearby months.

Coffee Options Contract

Confers to buyer the right to buy (in the case of a call) or sell (in the case of a put) one coffee "C" futures contract.

Trading Unit: One coffee "C" futures contract

Trading Hours: 9:15A.M. New York Time until the completion of the closing period which shall commence at 12:30P.M. (verify with exchange)

Price Quotation: Cents per pound

Contract Months: "Regular Options": March, May, July, September, December; "Serial Options": January, February, April, June, August, October, November

Ticker Symbol: KC

Minimum Fluctuation: 1/100 cent/pound, equivalent to $3.75 per contract.

Daily Price Limits: None

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The information presented in this commodity futures and options site is not investment advice and is for informational purposes only. Investments in commodity futures and options involves a high degree of risk, your investment may fall as well as rise, you may lose all your original investment and you may also have to pay more than the original amount invested. Consult your broker or advisor prior to making any investment decisions. Past or simulated performance is not a guide to future performance. Futures Trading is not suitable for everyone. This site provides information on online commodity trading, online future trading, commodity future online trading, commodity options, futures trading commodity brokerage.