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Copper Futures and Options Weekly Blog

 

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Copper futures and options quick facts:

  • 25,000 pound contract

  • One cent move equals $250

  • Trades all months

 

2/19/12 Copper futures prices traded mostly down this week as a lack of new news and a rising U.S. dollar pressured the market. It seems that there is almost daily news about Greece and the Euro Zone and the problems within that financial system. News that Iran stopped selling its oil to British and French companies may push oil and other commodity markets higher in the coming weeks.

2/10/12 Copper futures prices traded mostly sideways this week along with most commodities. More uncertainty about Greece and whether it will remain part of the European Union or not. Euro-Zone finance ministers decided to withold aid from Greece this week. This in turn strengthened the U.S. dollar and pressured most commodities lower after spending most of the week in a bullish stance.

2/3/12 Copper futures prices traded mostly sideways this week in spite of the U.S. dollar continuing its slide. The USD is now down 3 full basis points over the last few weeks which is helping to push many commodity markets higher. Friday's strong jobs report is also helping commodity prices strengthen. It also seems that bad European Union headlines are having less affect on the markets and the worst case may already be factored into many of these markets.

1/27/12 Copper futures prices are trading mostly higher again this week. The bullish news was the weakening U.S. dollar that continues its 2 week slide of about 3 full basis points which helps push dollar denominated commodity markets higher. The FOMC meeting left rates unchanged and opened the door for more quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve Bank. European sovereign debt issues and saber rattling from Iran seemed to have little affect on the markets.

1/20/12 Copper futures prices traded mostly higher this week as the recent influx of capital from hedge funds and other large speculators into the commodity markets and especially the soft sector pushed many commodity markets higher. The recent successful debt auctions from Spain and France helped stabilize the European Union for the near term and in turn weaken the U.S. dollar.

1/6/12 Copper futures prices traded mostly sideways to down this week. The U.S. dollar rose to new contract highs as concerns over European banks pushed the Eurocurrency down to a 16 month low. New tensions with Iran and its nuclear program has pushed American and British aircraft carriers to enter the Persian Gulf and the Straits of Hormuz and in turn pushed crude oil prices to the highs.

12/23/11 Copper futures prices rallied this week with many other commodity markets as the U.S. dollar sold off from its contract highs in the thin volume holiday trade that is typical for this week and next. Iran tensions pushed oil higher and positive economic reports out of the U.S. and Europe also pushed investors back into risk assets like stocks and commodities.

12/16/11 Copper futures prices sold off this week along with most other commodity markets. The lack of an additional quantitative easing announcement by Bernanke and the Federal Reserve Bank at the FOMC meeting surprised some market participants and pressured the markets. More bad news out of Europe and very positive news from the U.S. economy pushed more assets in to the U.S. dollar as it hit another high kept the stock markets trading down to sideways as well.

12/9/11 Copper futures prices traded mostly sideways to down this week again as most of the commodity and stock markets took their directional cues from the European headlines again. In other words, bad news out of the European Union pressured the markets and good news helped push markets higher. The week ended on a positive note as the European Union summit yielded ideas of tightening anti-deficit rules and punishments for member countries. This heartened the markets as it symbolized the idea that forced accountability of member nations may curb government spending.

12/2/11 Copper futures prices rallied this week along with many other commodity markets. Crude oil broke through $100 a barrel as Iranian students broke into the United Kingdon embassy in Tehran. Positive job growth in the U.S. and other encouraging economic data helped many commodities push higher. Also adding to the bullish tone was stability in Europe as a concerted effort by 5 central banks to add liquidity to Europe eased some fears and a sell off in the U.S. dollar also helped commodity prices.

11/25/11 Copper futures prices traded mostly down along with the majority of the commodity markets. The U.S. dollar index rallied almost to its October 4th high which is coincidentally when many commodity markets' made their recent contract lows. The recent German bond auction was a failure and couldn't managed to sell all of the bonds issued as more problems out of Italy and Greece hurt the European Union as investors flee to cash and the U.S. treasury markets.

11/18/11 Copper futures prices traded mostly down this week as more problems came out of the European Union suppressing most commodity rally attempts. The talk of Italy potentially defaulting on its debt and Italian bond yields breaching the critical 7% area hindered most bullish support for most markets. The European Central Bank chose to purchase Italian and Spanish bonds to support the markets and prove that they would support the teetering European Union and its weak links from default.

11/4/11 Copper futures prices traded mostly sideways this week as more uncertainty about Greek and Italian solvency added to European Union woes. Also adding to the uncertainty was the bankruptcy declaration by MF Global who supposedly was overleveraged in European high risk assets and it was a very bad bet. This uncertainty pushed assets towards the U.S. dollar and U.S. treasuries pushing both higher on the week. The strong dollar often depresses dollar denominated assets like commodities.

10/14/11 Copper futures prices rose again this week as the positive rhetoric out of the European Union and the idea that the EU has plenty of assets to back up its support of failing economys like Greece, Spain and Italy has led investors back into stocks and commodities. The U.S. dollar continues its fall which is also helping out the dollar demoninated commodity markets become more bullish.

10/7/11 Copper futures prices rallied this week from its lows. The market moving news of the week was Moodys' cutting the senior debt and deposit ratings of 12 UK financial institutions while at the same time the European Commission put together a possible coordinated European bank recapitalization plan to stabilize weak links in the financial chain like Greece and Italy. Market volatility continues to be extreme in stock and commodity futures contracts.

9/30/11 Copper futures prices are trading mostly sideways to down this week along with most other commodity markets as more problems with Greece and its potential default to its bond holders and other European woes has led to an extremely volatile trading environment for stocks and commodity investors. The U.S. dollar is also near its recent highs which is also hindering the bulls for now.

9/23/11 Copper futures prices sold off this week along with just about every other commodity as more problems out of the European Union and Federal Reserve Bank chairman Ben Bernanke saying that the U.S. economy was probably going to slip back into a recession. This fear of a double dip global recession sent investors fleeing out of the stock and commodity markets around the globe and strengthened the U.S. dollar significantly.

9/16/11 Copper futures prices traded mostly sideways to down this week along with most other commodity contracts as more European soveriegn debt problems (Greece) and more bad economic reports out of the United States have come together to add more uncertainty about the world's economic future. The weakening U.S. dollar did little to prop up commodity prices. Volatility can be extreme at times as the market reacts to economic reports.

9/1/11 Copper futures prices rallied by about 15 cents per pound this week in spite of the strengthening U.S. dollar and the idea that the Federal Reserve Bank is thinking about another round of quantitative easing to stimulate the economy as interest rates should remain low until 2013 if not longer.

8/19/11 Copper futures prices had an extremely volatile week along with most of the rest of the commodity markets. The stock market indices were quite volatile and affected most other asset classes as European Union problems resurfaced again and put many investors in doubt about future U.S. and global growth prospects over the near term.

8/5/11 Copper futures prices have been mostly down this week. This week's main stories are about Europe's continued problems and the foreseeable end of the European Union as the PIIGS continue to harm. A slower global economy and the 10% correction in the U.S. stock markets have many commodity investors heading for the sidelines.

7/29/11 Copper futures prices have been trading mostly sideways this week as the United States faces a political impasse on raising the debt ceiling. This has led to talk about the U.S. losing its AAA credit rating and potentially defaulting on its debt obligations. The U.S. dollar is trading sideways near its lows because things seem to be even worse in Europe. Many of the other commodity markets have also been trading sideways for the most part.

7/15/11 Copper futures prices are trading sideways this week as Ben Bernanke left the door open for QE3 or printing more U.S. dollars to be used for buying treasuries to help buoy the economy. Also the European Bank Authority said 8 out of 90 banks failed their stress tests this week. 5 were from Spain, 2 from Greece and one from Austria. The U.S. dollar sold off this week.

7/1/11 Copper futures prices rallied to an 8 week high this week as the U.S. dollar lost about 2 basis points once the markets decided that the greek soveriegn debt issues would be resolved for the short term in spite of the agreement that most analyst share that Greece is doomed to be bankrupt sooner or later. Many commodity sectors look to be selling off such as the precious metals, energies and grains seem to be trending sideways to down over the near term.

6/24/11 Copper futures prices are trading mostly sideways, within a roughly 15 cent per pound range, again this week in spite of the collapse in crude oil prices. The Obama administration decided to release 30 million barrels of oil from the strategic petroleum reserve to help pressure energy prices. The International Energy Agency plans to add 2 million barrels a day from non-OPEC reserves. Also pressuring the markets is the idea that Greece will default sooner or later and may be released from the European Union in order to strengthen the Euro. Reports of slower growth out of India and China is also pressuring commodity prices in general.

6/10/11 Copper futures prices are still trading sideways as the market trys to digest the attempts by China and India to slow down their economies to battle inflation. More bad news in the real estate markets hint to a double dip in the residential real estate markets. Every new house contains approximately 400 pounds of copper and it looks like it might be a while until new homes will be built. Copper demand was down 3% in May.

6/3/11 Copper futures prices traded sideways this week as quite a bit of bad U.S. economic data in manufacturing, housing and jobs has consumer confidence falling along with the stock market and most of the commodity markets. Many economists fear a soft patch in the economy this summer and a slowing of Asian demand for many commodities as attempts to battle inflation by raising rates are slowing growth.

5/27/11 Copper futures prices are trading sideways along with most of the other commodity markets as large speculators such as hedge funds seem to be exiting the riskier assets. The lack of aggressive buying and selling of these futures contracts has caused many of them to trade sideways in small trading ranges. The recent 3 cent rally in the US dollar should have been more of a catalyst pushing commodity prices higher but this has largely been ignored. This is most likely caused by the perception that China's economy may be slowing down as well.

5/20/11 Copper futures prices rallied about 10 cents per pound this week even as the US dollar continues to strengthen and investors seem to be heading for the exit when it comes to their riskier assets and are getting in to cash and cash equivalents. The volatility in many markets has dropped considerably as some like silver, gold, crude oil and cotton are consolidating sideways. This in turn is bringing option premiums back down to more normal levels for some markets as this volatility premium is taken out of the options.

5/13/11 Copper futures prices sold off again this week as the market digests the idea that Greece may default on its debt just a year after this same predicament that forced Germany to infuse money into the system. This news crushed the Euro Currency and pushed the US dollar higher which in turn hurt most commodity prices and pushed volatility much higher. Quantitative easing is set to end this summer which might be why the stock market is soft in spite of energy prices coming down violently. Option premiums are very high for most commodities because of the recent volatility.

5/6/11 Copper futures prices sold off this week along with most of the other commodity markets. A cocktail of bearish happenings have been a catalyst initiating a huge exodus out of risk assets to reduce investors' risk exposure. The ECB president Trichet let the market know that a ECB rate hike is not a done deal in July which in turn pushed the US dollar up a full basis point. Also hitting the markets were the CME group's increase in silver margin requirements which totalled 5 increases over the last 2 weeks which pushed weak longs out of the market and caused silver to correct by about 25% making it the worst sell off since the early 1980's. Lastly, many US economic reports have been weaker than expected which is weakening the confidence of a strong economic recovery in the US over the near term.

4/29/11 Copper futures prices fell by about 10 cents per pound this week. The FOMC meeting left Bernanke signalling that QE 3 would not happen and QE 2 would end in June and that interest rates will probably stay on hold for a while leaving the US dollar to get crushed as other countries plan on continued interest rates hikes to fight inflation and attract foreign assets to the stronger currencies.

4/22/11 Copper futures prices rallied 20 cents per pound this week along with most of the other commodities as the US dollar hit levels not seen since the "Great Recession" summer of 2008. The market seems to be factoring in an unwillingness by the United States' federal reserve bank to raise interest rates in spite of the fact that many other economies like Australia, China and the European Union are raising interest rates. This rising interest rate environment draws money away from US investments into stronger currency assets.

4/8/11 Copper futures prices rallied about 20 cents per pund this week along with many other commodity markets as the bulls seem to have control for now. Gold hit an all time high and crude oil broke through $110 a barrel pulling other commodities with them. The US dollar coincidentally hit new contract lows this week as well. The new earthquake in Japan seems to be a non-event this time for the markets.

4/1/11 Copper futures prices are coming down this week after the big run that it saw last week. A better manufacturing report out of China and the idea that inflation will become a real threat soon may lend support to the copper market over the near term. Copper option premiums are high.

3/25/11 Copper futures prices were mostly higher this week based on the fact that buying the risk trades like commodities were the weekly theme. The Japan nuclear scare seems to have been averted for the most part and the markets factored in a worst case scenario which caused the massive sell off last week. The tensions in the Middle East seem to be growing which pushed crude oil prices over the $105 level. The US dollar has been sliding for most of the month of March which is also helping push most commodity futures prices higher.

3/18/11 Copper futures prices came down this week along with most of the commodity and stock markets as investors try to figure out what affects the tsunami and its destruction of the cities and nuclear plants in Japan will have over the short, medium and long terms. Japan's economy is the 3rd largest in the world and demand destruction for some commodities may occur.

3/11/11 Copper futures prices have been selling off this week after a volatile few weeks in the commodity markets. Geopolitical issues in the Middle East put the bias in the commodity markets in the hands of the bulls for the last few weeks but the buy the rumor sell the fact side of the equation and China's first trade deficit in many years seems to be behind the massive liquidation of most of the commodity markets.

3/4/11 Copper futures prices rallied about 20 cents per pound this week as the world wonders about the violence and ubiquitous unrest in northern Africa and the middle east. Egyptians got rid of their despot. Libya is trying along with Bahrain, Tunisia and others which is pushing crude oil prices sky high again. Higher oil prices are very inflationary and helps push the bias of all dollar denominated commodities higher.

2/11/11 Copper futures prices traded sideways this week as conflicting US economic reports have stalled the rally. The uprising in Egypt by the people to oust the long time president out of power has turned violent and caused many commodity markets to become very volatile because of the belief that turmoil may spread to other Muslim countries near Egypt. On February 10th the ousted president appointed his vice president as ruler much to the dismay of the protesters.

2/4/11 Copper futures prices are still running higher as the US economy and others seem to be doing just fine. The problems in Egypt also seem to not be affecting the industrial metals markets very much. The Suez canal only moves about 3% of the oil through there and the oil market is giving back some of the Egypt premium today.

1/28/11 Copper futures prices rebounded nicely this week after the 30 cent sell off the happened over the the last couple of weeks. China and India have been aggressively attacking inflation by increasing interest rates to slow the growth.

1/21/11 Copper futures prices followed the trend of most of the other commodity markets as they sold off violently in anticipation that China will step up its efforts to quell inflation by making it harder to get money out of its main banks by increasing reserve requirements and raising interest rates.

1/7/11 Copper futures prices are still selling off from the recent all time highs as the market tries to factor in the consequences of China continuing to tighten its monetary policy by raising lending rates. The recent strength in the US dollar and the weakness in most of the other commodity markets are also helping to push copper prices down.

12/24/10 Copper futures prices came down this week. The week before and after Christmas are notoriously thinly traded and the markets can have very volatile price swings because of the lack of trading volume. Many money managers call it quits for the year in early December to lock in before year end.

12/17/10 Copper futures prices hit new highs this week as the global economic outlook is starting to look better and in spite of the recent downgrade of Ireland by Moodys. Copper mines and supplies have been disappearing as China buys as much as it can.

12/3/10 Copper futures prices have been running this week as the European Union has decided to give Ireland the loan it needs so that it won't have to default on its debt. Also helping the market is the idea that the worst of the problems in the United States are in the past and its economy will likely begin to grow at a better pace than expected. There is also the idea that capital gains taxes and taxes on dividends will not be implemented now that republicans are in charge.

11/19/10 Copper futures prices sold off again this week as China raised interest rates in an attempt to slow its overheating economy and inflation. Also pressuring the commodity markets was the idea that Ireland may default on loans might lead to more Eurozone economic problems coming soon.

11/12/10 Copper futures prices are correcting significantly after the huge run up in prices. The most prevelant perception is that the global recovery may be stalling based on worse than expected economic reports as of late and the idea that China will hike interest rates to battle inflation which should push commodities lower.

11/5/10 Copper futures prices are still heading higher as the FOMC meeting yielded more quantitative easing by the Fed. Printing more money should lead to high inflation or hyperinflation for the next few years. Especially when you consider the fact that the Fed bought so much of the toxic real estate assets from Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. It makes sense that they won't raise rates to fight inflation because it would cost the government billions of dollars.

10/22/10 Copper future prices are coming down this week as China hiked its 1 year lending rate by 25 basis points to slow inflation. The recent rally in the US dollar also hurt commodity prices including copper. The copper market looks to be set up for some bullish position profit taking to remedy the overbought rally.

10/15/10 Copper futures prices are still near the recent highs of around $3.80 per pound as the commodity markets in general look tired after the recent run ups that have occurred. Copper options volatility premiums are high.

10/8/10 Copper futures prices made new highs this week as the idea of more quantitative easing is still a major theme in the markets. The Fed seems to want to battle deflation with inflation to artificially keep interest rate payment to zero or below. Growth forcast for the BRIC countries still seem robust.

9/24/10 Copper futures prices are starting to run higher again near 5 month highs. Chinese industrial production was up 13.8% in August from a year ago and India's factory output was up 13.9% from a year ago in July. It looks like the Federal Reserve Bank will begin more quantitative easing ie. crank up the money printing press.

9/17/10 Copper futures prices are consolidating sideways as mixed signals are coming out from the global economy. Recent unexpected bad news out of Germany makes many believe that the European Union may not be quite ready to start growing yet. Copper options have high premiums right now.

9/10/10 Copper futures prices are still running higher overall as China's economy is still growing at 8% plus and the lack of copper supplies coupled with the emerging markets seemingly insatiable demand is propping up prices for now.

8/20/10 Copper futures prices have been trading sideways this week as many U.S. economic reports disappointed the markets. Copper prices seem to be waiting for signs that the global economic outlook is improving before moving higher.

8/13/10 Copper futures prices sold off this week by about 15 cents as the Fed told the world that rates will remain low for an extended period and that the US was not growing as quickly as expected. Recent reports out of China were not as strong as expected either.

8/6/10 Copper futures prices are still rallying in spite of word from China that they might take additional measures to slow down their economy. The emerging markets still need copper for growth of housing and infrastructure.

8/2/10 Copper futures prices are still running higher as less worries about the Eurozone defaulting on its debt and the idea that the United States and other economies around the globe will begin to grow again and demand for the red metal may increase.

7/24/10 Copper futures prices rallied almost 20 cents this week as the US Dollar continues to sell off and the idea that the global recovery in Asia is beginning to occur. Copper option premiums remain high.

7/10/10 Copper futures prices rallied this week with the weak US Dollar and a few good economic reports in the U.S. and abroad. The idea that the worst of the European Union debt problems are behind and improvement is expected is also firming copper prices.

7/2/10 Copper futures prices sold off this week as ideas of the global economy slowing including China and the potential for a double dip recession in the United States is beginning to permeate the markets. Copper sold off almost 10 cents per pound this week.

6/25/10 Copper futures prices rallied this week as ideas that the rising Yuan may result in greater demand for copper. The International Copper Study Group recent said that refined copper use was up 13.4% in March versus a year ago.

6/11/10 Copper futures prices hit an 8 month low this week as ideas that China will slow its buying of the red metal and the unknown sovereign debt issues that may come forward in many of the European economies including the United Kingdom.

6/4/10 Copper futures prices fell quite a bit this week as the idea of a global recovery is starting to fade as China is trying to slow its inflation. The world bank recently predicted that China would grow by 9-10% in 2010.

5/28/10 Copper futures prices rallied this week as the stock markets and many of the commodity markets rallied on good news from China and the idea that the bailout in the Eurozone might help stabilize the markets some.

5/21/10 Copper futures prices came down with the rest of the commodity markets this week as the European problems stemming from Greece and the other PIIGS are expected to hurt demand for many commodities. Investors seem to be choosing cash over stocks and commodities for now. China's economy may be slowing as well.

5/14/10 Copper futures prices are still trading in a roughly 20 cent range in spite of the news that the LME copper inventories were down 1,255 tons this week to 485,150 tons which is the lowest level so far this year.

5/7/10 Copper futures prices came down hard this week as China increased its reserve requirements for its 5 government owned bank. The problems in Greece are also decreasing investors' risk appetites for now and pushing assets into the US Dollar and US Treasuries.

4/25/10 Copper futures prices are still relatively high as recent news from around the globe has caused optimism that many economies will begin to grow soon including the United States.

4/16/10 Copper futures prices sold off towards the end of the week as the fraud charges against Goldman Sachs by the SEC helped pressure the stock and commodity markets. Copper prices had been trading near the upper part of its recent range.

4/9/10 Copper futures prices rallied this week as the idea that many of the economies around the world are improving and more good manufacturing news out of the US is also helping copper prices run. Copper option premiums are high.

3/27/10 Copper futures prices have been trading sideways for the last couple of weeks as the strengthening US Dollar has stifled many rally attempts. The International Copper Study Group said that world production exceeded usage by 365,000 tons. Chinese customs said that imports of refined copper were up 12% in February.

2/26/10 Copper futures prices came down this week along with many other commodity markets as the combination of a stronger US Dollar and weak economic reports pressured prices. The International Copper Study Group came out with its estimate that world refined copper production outpaces usage by 75,000 tons in November. China's copper imports were up 9% from a year ago. Copper option premiums are high.

2/12/10 Copper futures prices rallied back this week as reports of continued strong economic growth out of China and the idea that Europe will help Greece with its financial problems pushed the US Dollar down and most of the commodity markets higher this week.

2/5/10 Copper futures prices crashed this week to an 11 week low as the strong US Dollar is expected to hurt demand for commodities and the recent attempts by China to slow its economy also has investors scared of the long side of the trade.

1/30/10 Copper futures prices came down again this week as the strength in the US Dollar continues to hurt the metals complex. Also pushing copper down was the weaker than expected new home sales numbers, weak jobless claims and a weak durable goods report.

1/22/10 Copper futures prices came down this week with the rest of the commodity markets as the US Dollar continues to rally and the idea that China is trying to restrain its economy by raising rates and increasing the minimum amount of money that banks must keep in reserve will diminish demand.

1/15/10 Copper futures prices are coming down this week in spite of news that Chin's exports were up 18% from a year ago. China is also trying to slow its economy from overheating and causing inflation. Copper option premiums are high.

1/8/10 Copper futures prices rallied to contract highs as the Index of Manufacturing in China rose from 55.7 to 56.1 in December which is the highest rating in 5 years. The Chuquicamata mine strike in Chile ended with workers being awarded higher pay.

1/1/10 Copper futures prices rallied to a  16 month his as the worker strike in the Chuquicamata copper mine in Chile coupled with strong Asian demand and low global interest rates is lending strength to copper prices. The rally occurred in spite of the strong US Dollar. Copper options premiums are high.

12/11/09 Copper futures sold off 10 cents this week as the LME inventories grew to 452,550 tons which is up 33% for 2009. The strong rally in the US Dollar is weakening many commodities, especially the metals sector.

12/4/09 Copper futures prices ran again this week as India's GDP rose 7.9% in the 3rd quarter to a 15 month high and did not get hurt to badly be the dramatically higher US Dollar move following the upbeat jobs report on Friday.

11/28/09 Copper futures prices ran again this week along with the rest of the metals complex as the US Dollar hit an 18 month low and strong demand signals from Asia continue to push copper prices higher. Copper option premiums are high.

11/20/09 Copper futures prices have been running to the upside with the US Dollar hitting another contract low and the overall strength in the commodity markets. The strike at the Spence Copper Mine in Northern Chile is estimated to be costing BHP Billiton about 50 tons of production each day. The recent good economic news out of China is also helping prices.

11/13/09 Copper futures prices are steady in spite of the recent report that LME inventories climbing to 402,125 tons and China's estimate that imports of copper were down 34%. On the bullish side, the China Bureau of Statistics said that Chinese industrial production was up 15% for October compared to a year ago.

11/6/09 Copper futures prices are selling off in spite of positive manufacturing reports and the estimate that China's GDP will increase more than expected next year. LME inventories are up 1,625 tons to 373,800 tons which is the most since May 12.

10/24/09 Copper futures prices are still near the highs as the International Copper Study Group estimates that there is a world production deficit of 186,000 tons in the first seven months of 2009. Copper option premiums are still high.

10/9/09 Copper futures prices are running this week as the US Dollar is selling off to its 12 month lows as many countries are rumored to be moving away from the US Dollar as a reserve currency. The recent economic news showed the global economy strengthening which should bode well for copper prices.

9/25/09 Copper futures prices fell this week as the US Dollar strengthened from its yearly lows. The International Copper Study Group estimates that copper production fell short of consumption by 155,000 tons in June and by 292,000 for the first half of 2009. London Metals Exchange inventories hit the highest level since May and copper had its lowest close in 7 weeks.

9/18/09 Copper futures prices fell this week in spite of the recent signs that the global economy may be recovering and the weakening US Dollar. The copper market may have run up a little bit too fast based on its fundamentals. Copper option premiums are high.

9/11/09 The Chinese Association of Automobile Manufacturing says that 858,000 vehicle sales occurred in August which is up 90% from the previous month. Copper prices are near $3 per pound again. Copper option premiums are high.

9/4/09 Copper futures prices sold off from the highs based on news that China may be done with its recent buying spree and in spite of the better than expected US manufacturing report which showed the first expansion in 19 months. Copper option premiums are high.

8/21/09 Copper futures prices are trading sideways this week around the $2.70 per pound area. The lack of any bullish or bearish news has the copper market consolidating sideways for now. Copper option premiums are high.

8/7/09 Copper futures prices are rallying to contract highs as the perception of an improving global economy and the weakening US Dollar are helping push many commodities higher. Upbeat manufacturing data out of China is also helping push copper prices higher. Copper option premiums are high.

7/31/09 Copper futures prices rallied to a 9 month high based on some very strong industrial production numbers coming out of Japan and the weakening US Dollar. Copper was also aided by the all around strength in the rest of the commodity sector. Copper option premiums are high.

7/20/09 Copper futures prices are rallying based on good retail sales, better than expected industrial production figures, positive economic news coming from China and Singapore are all helping the copper bulls. Copper is at its highest level in 5 weeks. Copper option premiums are high.

7/10/09 Copper futures prices are selling off again in spite of China importing a record 475,999 tons of copper production in June and 6.1 million vehicles were sold in China in the first half of 2009. The is 18% higher than last year. Copper option premiums are high.

7/4/09 Copper futures prices continue to sell off as the US Dollar continues to bounce off of the 80 level and inflation does not seem to be coming anytime soon. China's manufacturing sector is still showing gains. Copper option premiums are high.

6/20/09 Copper futures prices have been falling as the US Dollar continues to strengthen and Shanghai inventories are at levels not seen in a year or so. Copper option premiums are high.

6/5/09 Copper futures prices rallied based on 3 consecutive months of manufacturing growth out of China. It had its highest close in 7 months. Copper option premiums are high.

5/30/09 Copper futures prices rallied as a better economic outlook and better consumer confidence in the US and the potential for a V shaped recovery for China's economy is helping the markets. There was also a big jump in Japanese industrial production. Copper option premiums are high.

5/22/09 Copper futures prices are still range bound sideways as bad housing data clashes with Chinese demand. Copper option premiums are high.

5/15/09 Copper futures prices are selling off as bad retail sales numbers make the bottom in the economy unclear. The LME stocks are low but China may have plenty of copper supply on hand for now. Copper option premiums are high.

5/8/09 Copper futures prices are rallying again. The Index of Manufacturing in China rose from 44.8 to 50.1 which is that first expansion in 9 months. Copper options premiums are high.

4/30/09 Copper futures prices are still in an uptrend in spite of the International Copper study Group's estimate that copper production outpaced copper consumption by 155,000 tons in January of 2009. Copper option premiums are high.

4/23/09 Copper futures prices have come down a bit from its highs as the rally seems to have gotten ahead of itself. The LME copper supplies are down 50,000 metric tons since the beginning of the month based on Chinese buying. China is expected to begin to recover from the global recession first and its need for copper to support its infrastructure plans are robust. Copper option premiums are high.

4/10/09 Copper futures prices are running again as the Shanghai exchange copper levels are still near record lows and the consolidation of the copper market may enable producers to control prices better. Copper option premiums are high.

3/27/09 Copper futures prices are still running to a 4 month high as China imported 270,948 tons of copper in February. China is the number one consumer of copper. Copper option premiums are high.

3/20/09 Copper futures prices are trending higher as the threat of inflation is nearing after the worst deflationary cycle since the Great Depression may be ending. The recent move by the Fed to print a trillion dollars and then use them to buy treasuries has significantly devalued the US Dollar. Copper option premiums are high.

3/13/09 Copper futures prices are holding the recent levels as more infrastructure talk around the globe is supporting futures prices. The Shanghai exchange still has very low stockpiles of copper. Copper option premiums are high.

3/7/09 Copper futures prices are trying to rally of the base that it has been forming for the last few months. The Chinese economy is looking brighter with their infrastructure stimulus package and the US and UK are looking at infrastructure packages of their own. Copper option premiums are high.

2/27/09 Copper futures prices are still trading sideways along with many other commodities. Copper bulls are waiting for more buying from China or confirmations about infrastructure spending in the US. Copper option premiums are high.

2/13/09 Copper futures prices are still range bound but look to have found support near the recent lows. Copper got a nice push based on the US infrastructure plan but it is now unclear how much money will actually be put towards infrastructure spending. Copper option premiums are high.

2/6/09 Copper futures prices are trading in a 20 cent sideways pattern as the stimulus plan and the infrastructure renovation parts of the bill has yet to be passed. The massive infrastructure development would use up much of the burdensome supplies of copper. Copper option premiums are high.

1/30/09 Copper futures prices are basing sideways which may be an indication of a market waiting for a potential break out to the upside. Copper recently rose to its highest price in 7 weeks based on the potential demand for copper if the US infrastructure bill passed through congress. Copper option premiums are high.

1/16/09 Copper futures prices are still down as Chinese demand is expected to fall around 5% this year and a recovery in housing prices is unlikely. The LME has copper inventories at a 5 year high. Copper option premiums are high.

1/10/09 Copper futures prices rallied this week based on expectations that the US and China will increase spending on infrastructure this year. Copper option premiums are high.

12/17/08 Copper futures prices rallied this week based on major buying from China and news that copper producers are cutting production and closing copper mines because of cheap prices. Copper option premiums are high.

12/19/08 Copper futures prices have been moved by the US Dollar this week. Strong dollar days are met with pressured copper prices and weak dollar days are met with copper strength. Copper option premiums are high.

12/12/08 Copper futures rallied with the rest of the commodity markets this week as the US Dollar began to sell off dramatically from the highs. Copper option premiums are high.

12/5/08 Copper futures hit a new contract low this week as the US Dollar goes higher and the global economy weakening. Copper option premiums are high.

11/30/08 Copper futures prices are having trouble rallying because of the global economy and the perception of a recessionary period. Copper option premiums are high.

11/21/08 Copper futures prices are coming down with the rest of the metals sector as the US Dollar continues to stay strong. Copper option premiums are high.

11/7/08 Copper futures prices are being pressured by bad manufacturing data and stockpiles at the LME and Shanghai are still growing. Until housing or manufacturing look like they will turn around, prices may suffer. Copper option premiums are high.

11/1/08 Copper futures prices are still being pressured to the downside based on the perception of a global slowdown and the strong US Dollar. The recent housing report only helped copper rally for a day. Copper option premiums are high.

10/24/08 Copper futures prices are still coming down and are down about 60% for the year. Commodities in general are coming down as massive deleveraging continues. The repatriation of US Dollars is also hurting commodity prices.  Prices are now at 2005 levels and still falling. Fears of the global recession and housing problems around the globe are also pressuring prices. Copper option premiums are high.

10/10/08 Copper futures prices are still crashing. Copper prices just had their worst week since 1988 and are down 22% just in one week. Demand destruction over the near term is being blamed because of China's lack of purchased. Copper futures prices are down over 40% for the year. Copper option premiums are high.

10/6/08 Copper futures prices are below $2.50 as investors scramble for liquidity. Fears of a global recession, deflationary pressure and the strong US Dollar are hurting demand for copper. Copper option premiums are high. 

9/25/08 Copper futures prices are trading sideways because of a lack of good news about the housing markets or good news about the global economy beginning to improve. Copper option premiums are above average.

9/19/08 Copper futures prices neared $3 on slowing global demand and the rush to liquidity because of the financial meltdown in the global stock markets. Copper option premiums are high.

9/12/08 Copper futures prices are still falling based on the rise in the US Dollar. A lack of any Chinese buying has the copper market concerned. Copper option premiums are high.

9/5/08 Copper futures prices dumped this week as the US Dollar rallied again, concerns about a global slowdown (especially China) and the increase in the LME inventories of 1,575 tons. Copper option premiums are high.

8/29/08 Copper futures prices sold off this week as the US Dollar rallied and many poor economic reports came out showing the potential for more slowing of many world economies. Copper option premiums are high.

8/22/08 Copper futures prices had a strong rally this week led by the sell off that occurred in the US Dollar after its month long run to the upside. The 25 cent rally may have trouble holding on if the US Dollar continues to rally. Lots of money is coming to the US from Europe and Asia because of worries about Russian aggression. Copper option premiums are high.

8/15/08 Copper futures prices fell again this weak based on the extremely strong US Dollar and the belief that global economies around the world are weakening, including China. Copper option premiums are high.

8/8/08 Copper futures prices fell again this week based on the Federal Reserve Bank leaving rates unchanged and the perception by traders of a slowing world economy will limit copper demand. Copper futures prices are at a 6 month low and about a dollar off of the May high. Copper option premiums are high.

7/25/08 Copper futures prices fell again this week based on the slowing US economy and its potential effects upon China's demand. Freeport-McMoran is the largest public copper producer and its sales were down 6% from a year ago based on lower Chinese demand. Copper option premiums are high.

7/18/08 Copper futures prices fell this week in the wake of a broad based commodity sell off led by crude oil. Chinese copper import demand in June was down 19% from a year ago which leads traders to believe that the world economy may slow down. Copper option premiums are high.

7/11/08 Copper futures prices fell 25 cents from its rally through $4 based on the copper mine strike concluding. Copper option premiums are high.

7/4/08 Copper futures prices rallied above $4 this week as the strike in Peru looked to cause major disruptions in supplies but the strike was avoided and copper prices crashed because of it. Copper option premiums are high.

6/27/08 Copper futures prices rose this week as the Federal Reserve Bank did not raise rates causing the US Dollar to fall. There is an inverse relationship with the weakening US Dollar and increasing metals prices. Copper option premiums are high.

6/20/08 Copper futures prices rallied this week as the US Dollar fell. This run put copper prices up to a one month high. Also helping copper was the world bank's prediction that real GDP for China would increase from 9.4% to 9.8%. Copper option premiums are very high.

6/13/08 Copper futures prices have been hurt recently by the rally in the US Dollar and talk of a global slowing of economies because of record oil and grain prices. Copper option premiums are high.

6/6/08 Copper futures prices are rallying this week based on the sell off in the US Dollar because of the EU talking about having to raise interest rates because of inflation issues. Copper option premiums are high.

5/30/08 Copper futures prices are coming down this week as the stronger GDP numbers pushed the US Dollar up again. The Federal Reserve Bank is also talking about potentially being finished lowering interest rates. Copper option premiums are high.

5/23/08 Copper futures prices are trading sideways while there is a lack of any fundamental news in the market. The weakening US Dollar is helping copper hold is price levels currently. Copper option premiums are high.

5/15/08 Copper futures prices are selling off this week based on China's industrial production estimates being up only 15.7% in April which is less that was expected. The strike in the largest copper mine in the world was settled. Copper option premiums are high.

5/9/08 Copper futures prices rallied to a new high this week based on the largest copper mine in the world being closed down by a workers strike. The rally was short lived because workers agreed to the new bonus structure and resumed work. The weak US Dollar is keeping prices around $3.70 pound. Copper option premiums are high.

5/1/08 Copper futures prices sold off again this week as the US Dollar continues to climb. The FOMC meeting hinted to a cessation of interest rate cuts soon which gave the dollar bulls some hope and crushed copper prices. Copper option premiums are high.

4/25/08 Copper futures prices sold of from all time highs this week based on the strong US Dollar and weak overall commodity prices. Demand for copper is still brisk but the rising US Dollar makes it more expensive for foreign buyers. Copper option premiums are high.

4/18/08 Copper futures prices are very near their all time highs and were helped there by the strike in the world's largest copper mine, Codelco, in Chile this week. The US dollar hitting record lows and China's first quarter GDP growth being over 10% also helped the metal reach higher ground. Copper option premiums are high.

4/11/08 Copper futures prices stayed near their all time highs this week as a power shortage in Chile disrupted mining. Also helping prices was China's insatiable appetite for industrial metals. Chinese copper imports are expected to rise 20% this year. Copper option premiums are high.

4/4/08 Copper futures prices are near their all time highs this week which makes one wonder just how bad the global economy could be. Copper is considered by many to be the only commodity with a PhD. in economics because the rise and fall of copper futures prices often precedes economic expansions and declines. In this case the red metal is near its all time highs so an expansion of the global economy could be right around the corner. Copper option premiums are high.

3/28/08 Copper futures prices bounced this week based on the Asian demand for the red metal. The world's copper production fell short of consumption by 42,000 tons in 2007 one report said. Copper option premiums are high.

3/21/08 Copper futures prices kept falling this week as Wall Street hedge funds and commodity funds liquidated futures positions to cover margin calls in stocks and to pay back borrowed money. The Bear Stearns issue took the confidence from investors. The Fed's 75 basis point cut surprised investors because a full 100 basis point cut was expected. Copper option premiums are high.

3/14/08 Copper futures prices are consolidation sideways near $4/lb for the last couple of weeks based on infrastructure demands from China, India and Brazil whose economies and industrial metals demands are growing dramatically. The weak US Dollar and the expectations of another Federal Reserve Bank rate cut is propping up prices as well. Copper option premiums are very high.

3/7/08 Copper futures prices rallied to break the $4/lb. level this week before getting caught in the broad based commodity sell off. Fears that the slowing US economy may slow Chinese expansion. China has had an insatiable appetite for industrial metals lately and have been driving the copper futures prices higher and the LME's inventories have shrunk 30% this year to a 3 day global usage supply. Copper option premiums are high.

2/29/08 Copper futures prices rallied with the other metals this week based on inflation concerns because the Fed is expected to cut rates by another 50 basis points at the March 18-19 Federal open market committee meeting. Copper futures are also gaining strength based on industrial metal ETF's and speculative capital leaving stocks and bonds searching for returns. Copper option premiums are high.

2/22/08 Copper futures prices hit contract highs this week based on heavy Chinese demand that led to draw downs in LME warehouse stockpiles. The weaker US dollar is also helping to push copper futures prices higher. Copper is considered a predictor of economic ups and downs and this contract high would signal that the global economy may not slow down as much as predicted. Copper option premiums are high.

2/15/08 China and India's insatiable demand for industrial metals caused a rally in copper futures prices this week. The very active emerging economies are still using up supplies in spite of a possible US slowdown. Especially when one figures in that there are 3 billion people in Asia vs. 100 million in the US. The lower dollar also helped copper futures prices rise above $3.50 a pound this week. Copper option premiums are high.

2/8/08 Copper futures prices hit a 10 month high this week based on a drawdown in LME stockpiles to the lowest level since November and Chinese demand. Copper futures prices are rising in spite of a possible recession and Chinese growth estimates being lowered by the world bank from 10.8% to 9.6%. Copper futures prices are also unexpectedly running up in spite of the strengthening US Dollar. Copper options volatility premiums are extremely high.

2/1/08 Copper futures prices are consolidating sideways with doubts about the US economy's weakness and its affects on the rest of the globe. China's demand for copper is still robust but lessening. Copper futures prices have been called the only futures prices with a PhD. in economics because falling prices often signal receding economic conditions. Copper options volatility premium is currently high.

1/18/08 Copper futures prices sold off through the $3.20 level this week. The weak US Dollar and the Fed cutting interest rates again should help support prices and there is still a lot of demand at current copper future prices. China's expansion is using huge amounts of copper and supporting copper futures prices. The current industrial metal futures bull market seems to be leveling out at these levels. An expected US slowdown may put a lid on prices for now. The International Copper Study Group said that world consumption of copper exceeded production by 265,000 tons in the first nine months of 2007. Copper futures prices are still down.

-T & K Futures and Options Inc.

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